Grading Our 2010 NFL Draft Predictions
We originally posted an article with 10 bold predictions for the 2010 NFL draft. Some came to fruition and some, ehh, not so much.
Our 10 Bold Predictions
1. Florida QB Tim Tebow will be drafted in the first round.
True: The Broncos traded back into the first round to select Tebow at #25 overall.
2. Oklahoma’s Trent Williams, not Oklahoma State’s Russell Okung, will be the first offensive tackle off of the board.
True: This prediction was a little more ‘bold’ at the time we made it. Williams gained steam in the final days leading up to the draft.
3. Texas QB Colt McCoy will get picked no later than the 38th overall selection.
Not even close: McCoy lasted until the 85th selection to the Cleveland Browns. We really thought teams would be more interested in his accuracy, but Jimmy Clausen’s fall probably hurt McCoy as well.
We did get one part of the prediction correct. In the article, we said, “Who selects at that spot? The Cleveland Browns. Expect the new head honcho Mike Holmgren to select McCoy–perhaps the most accurate quarterback in this class–to run his West Coast offense.”
4. Virginia Tech DE Jason Worilds will go to a 3-4 team in the mid-second round.
True: We had a feeling many of you had never heard of Worilds, but he was certainly on the radar of 3-4 teams. He got selected by Pittsburgh, a 3-4 team, with the 20th pick in the second round.
5. No tight end will be selected in the entire first round.
False: We didn’t believe the reports of Jermaine Gresham to the Bengals. We obviously should have.
6. Dallas will trade at least one player on the current roster on draft day.
False: It sure was close, though. The Cowboys were actively shopping a variety of players, particularly Patrick Crayton and Sam Hurd after the selection of Dez Bryant.
We still believe the Cowboys would trade either of those players for next-to-nothing, so a post-draft trade is not out of the question.
7. The Cowboys will not select at pick#27–they will either move up or back.
True: The Cowboys shrewdly moved up three spots to grab Dez Bryant.
8. Dallas will make an inordinate number of trades–even more than last season.
Borderline: The Cowboys traded before each of their first three selections, but then not again for the rest of the draft. Three trades is certainly above-average, but by no means “inordinate.”
False: In hindsight, this prediction was just dumb. There were simply too many talented players on the board for this to happen. All but two of the players did get drafted by the time the Steelers picked at #18 overall, but Campbell and Brown took a dive which no one could have accurately forecast.
10. The Cowboys will not address either left tackle or safety with their first selection.
True: We were going to take this a step further and claim they wouldn’t address either position with their first two selections, but it seemed a bit too daring.
Overall, we were 5/10 in our predictions–not too shabby for them being (at least somewhat) bold.
What do you think of our predictions? Did we do a good job? Which one was the dumbest?