2010 Fantasy Football: 21 (Very) Bold Predictions
Last year, I made some rather bold preseason fantasy football predictions. I actually did fairly well. These may not seem outrageous now, but they were pretty “out there” at the time. Some of my better 2009 predictions were:
- Aaron Rodgers would lead the NFL in fantasy points.
- Michael Turner, Clinton Portis, and Brian Westbrook would not be top 15 running backs.
- Ray Rice would score more points than Brandon Jacobs, who wouldn’t be a top 20 running back.
- Laurent Robinson, Sammie Stroughter, and Louis Murphy would be super-sleepers at wide receiver.
- Jason Witten would approach 100 receptions.
- Vernon Davis would have a breakout season with 70+ receptions.
Below are my bold fantasy football predictions for this year. Use them if you’d like, and if not, hey, whatever, I’m only like the six-time reigning champ of the JBFFL (Jonathan Bales Fantasy Football League). No biggie.
*Note: These predictions are for point-per-reception leagues.
1. Aaron Rodgers will lead all quarterbacks in fantasy points by a wide margin–50 or so.
2. Matt Schaub, Tony Romo, and Jay Cutler will all score more fantasy points than Peyton Manning.
3. David Garrard will score more fantasy points than Kevin Kolb, Brett Favre, Carson Palmer, and Donovan McNabb. Yes, Brett James Favre. And no, I don’t know if his middle name is ‘James,’ but it could be.
4. So will Jason Campbell.
5. Despite impressive rookie seasons, neither Mark Sanchez nor Matthew Stafford will crack the top 20 in fantasy points. Yes, I mean among quarterbacks only.
Super Sleeper: Michael Vick
1. Rashard Mendenhall and Knowshon Moreno will outscore DeAngelo Williams by 40+ points.
2. Despite being labeled a ‘bust,’ Reggie Bush will be a top 15 running back. He’s got top 10 potential.
3. Matt Forte, Ryan Grant, and Michael Turner won’t crack the top 15, but Grant and Turner will both be in the top 10 in rushing yards.
4. Cedric Benson, Joseph Addai, Jonathan Stewart, and Brandon Jacobs won’t crack the top 25. Amazingly, Benson will still be in the top six in the NFL in rushing yards. Holy crap that is a specific prediction.
5. Shonn Greene won’t crack the top 30. You heard it here.
Note: Prediction not valid if Shonn Greene scores in the top 30 in fantasy points among running backs.
6. Felix Jones has high expectations in Dallas, but he still won’t be a top 20 fantasy running back.
7. There will be 11 running backs with 50+ receptions.
Super Sleepers: Tashard Choice, Rashad Jennings, Dexter McCluster, Montario Hardesty (in dynasty leagues)
1. Andre Johnson will finish 30+ points ahead of any other receiver.
2. Steve Smith (NYG) will be a top six receiver. The “other” Steve Smith (CAR) won’t be in the top 20.
3. Buy into the hype on Mike Wallace. He’s going to have over 1,000 yards and eight touchdowns.
4. Wes Welker is fine. Expect a top 10 season.
5. He might be the most talented receiver in the league (or at least second), but Larry Fitzgerald won’t be in the top 10 in fantasy points.
Super Sleepers: Emmanuel Sanders, Jason Avant, Jacoby Jones, Brian Robiskie, Laurent Robinson (again)
1. Brent Celek will be a top three tight end and score more points than Dallas Clark.
2. Call me crazy, but I think Zach Miller will score more fantasy points than Jason Witten (assuming your league doesn’t award points for being a kickass blocker).
3. Tony Gonzalez can’t keep it up much longer. . .he’ll be lucky to crack the top 10 in points among tight ends.
4. Visanthe Shiancoe will score less points than Heath Miller.
Super Sleepers: Tony Moeaki, Aaron Hernandez