The Sportstradamus: Week 2 NFL Game Picks
The majority of sports picks you find online are basically useless. They’re slapped together in minutes and have no real connection to the actual outcome of the games.
So I figured I’d give you some more useless projections.
In all seriousness, I will pick the games and totals each week and compare my results to those of other writers and sports types around the internet. They’ll be listed in the “Game Picks” tab under the “Gameday” category. I just want to show you guys how a real statistician does work. . .
Notes before reading
- An’@’ symbol is listed in front of the home team.
- Game lines alter slightly based on the source.
- The winner versus the spread is listed in bold.
- I don’t advocate gambling. These picks are simply for fun (and to prove I’m better than 95 percent of “experts” at picking games).
Week 1 Results
9-7 straight up
7-7-2 against the spread
7-8-1 on over/under
Not a great start, but I’ll rebound here in Week 2.
Week 2 Projected Scores
Kansas City 24 (-1.5) @Cleveland 10
Kansas City is quickly turning into one of the more exciting teams in the league. Their running game should be able to gash Cleveland.
@Green Bay 24 Buffalo 17 (+13)
Buffalo stinks, but 13 points is a lot for anyone to receive. If they can put up 14 points, their defense should be good enough to hold Green Bay to 27 or less.
@Cincinnati 21 (+2) Baltimore 17
This will be a tough match-up for Cincinnati, but the public is overreacting to each of these teams’ Week 1 results.
@Tennessee 21 Pittsburgh 20 (+5)
I love underdogs against low-scoring teams, such as Tennessee, because the score is generally too low for the favorite to cover the spread.
Philadelphia 28 (-5) @Detroit 17
Philly with a hot Michael Vick versus a Sean Hill-led Detroit offense? Yes please.
@Dallas 21 Chicago 14 (+7.5)
I do think the Cowboys will win this game, but I’m not sure their offense can get rolling quickly enough to cover 7.5 points.
@Carolina 21 (-3.5) Tampa Bay 14
To me, the quarterbacks and defenses in this contest are a push. Are Carolina’s special teams and supporting offensive cast worth 3.5 points? I think so.
@Atlanta 23 Arizona 17 (+7)
My oh my, how far Arizona has fallen. Even so, seven points is a lot to receive against a mediocre Atlanta offense.
@Minnesota 24 (-5.5) Miami 14
Miami barely held on against the Bills last week. There’s no way they can score enough points to win this game, especially in Minnesota.
@Oakland 21 (-3.5) St. Louis 17
I was surprised by St. Louis’ performance in Week 1, but this line is once again the result of an overreaction by the public to last week’s games.
@Denver 21 (-3.5) Seattle 17
Repeat after me: Seattle is not as good as they played last week. Seattle is not as good as they played last week.
Houston 24 (-3) @Washington 20
In reality, the Redskins didn’t play well against the Cowboys last week. Dallas lost that game as opposed to Washington winning it.
@San Diego 21 Jacksonville 20 (+7.5)
This game will likely be blacked out in San Diego because they can’t even sell out their home opener, so it isn’t like it will be a hostile environment for the Jags.
New England 24 (-1.5) @New York Jets 17
Perhaps I am overreacting myself here, but I don’t see how a one-dimensional Jets offense will be able to put up many points against the ultimate game-planner in Bill Belichick.
@Indianapolis 31 (-5.5) New York Giants 24
Indy is rarely less than a touchdown favorite at home. Peyton won’t let Elijah beat him.
New Orleans 24 (-5.5) @San Francisco 17
New Orleans’ offense should get back on track this week after a rare off-night in the season opener.
Kansas City/Cleveland UNDER 39
Buffalo/Green Bay UNDER 43.5
Baltimore/Cincinnati UNDER 40
Pittsburgh/Tennessee OVER 36.5
Philadelphia/Detroit OVER 41.5
Chicago/Dallas UNDER 41.5
Tampa Bay/Carolina UNDER 39
Arizona/Atlanta UNDER 43.5
Miami/Minnesota UNDER 40
St. Louis/Oakland OVER 37.5
Seatlle/Denver UNDER 40
Houston/Washington OVER 43.5
Jacksonville/San Diego UNDER 45.5
New England/New York Jets OVER 38
New York Giants/Indianapolis OVER 48
New Orleans/San Francisco UNDER 44