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The Sportstradamus: Week 6 NFL Game Picks

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Jonathan Bales

The majority of sports picks you find online are basically useless.  They’re slapped together in minutes and have no real connection to the actual outcome of the games.

So I figured I’d give you some more useless projections.

In all seriousness, I will pick the games and totals each week and compare my results to those of other writers and sports types around the internet.  They’ll be listed in the “Game Picks” tab under the “Gameday” category.  I just want to show you guys how a real statistician does work. . .

Notes before reading

  • An’@’ symbol is listed in front of the home team.
  • Game lines alter slightly based on the source.
  • The winner versus the spread is listed in bold.
  • I don’t advocate gambling.  These picks are simply for fun (and to prove I’m better than 95 percent of “experts” at picking games).

Week 5 Results/Overall Results

7-7 straight up/43-33 on season

7-7 against spread/40-33-3 on season

7-7 on over-under/37-38-1 on season

Week 6 Projected Scores

San Diego 24 (-8) @St. Louis 14

Which San Diego team will show up? I’m going out on a limb and predicting that they realize they need to get their butts in gear.

@Houston 17 (-4) Kansas City 10

I still think the Texans are a much better team than the Chiefs, but Kansas City should keep the score down long enough to be in the game at the end.

Baltimore 21 (+3) @New England 17

This is a tremendous match-up, but I still the Pats are going to need a week or two to get their Moss-less offense on track.

New Orleans 27 (-4) @Tampa Bay 17

How did the Saints lose to Arizona last week?  This game means more to Tampa, which scares me, but New Orleans has so much more talent.

Atlanta 24 (+3) @Philadelphia 21

I don’t think Vick will play. Matt Ryan > Kevin Kolb

@New York Giants 27 Detroit 17 (+10.5)

The Cowboys are unlikely to gain grown on the division leader even if they win this week, as the Giants should roll here.

@Chicago 20 Seattle 14 (+7)

Jay Cutler is healthy, but will he be jumpy in the pocket after suffering a concussion?

@Green Bay 23 (-4) Miami 17

I’d love to see Miami win this one, but I think the Packers will get back on track at home.

@Pittsburgh 27 Cleveland 14 (+13.5)

Colt McCoy looks like he is going to get the start for Cleveland.  That’s bad, but how much worse can it really be than Delhomme or Wallace?

New York Jets 17 (-3) @Denver 13

This seems like the sort of trap game that Denver might steal, but I think the Jets’ defense will at least keep them in it.

@San Francisco 20 Oakland 14 (+7)

If the 49ers lose, Mike Singletary could get canned.

Dallas 24 (+1.5) @Minnesota 21

On paper, this match-up is terrible for Dallas–a stout defense with a great pass rush that won’t have to blitz Romo much, one of the league’s best running backs, and Randy Moss outside.  Emotionally, though, I think the Cowboys are up for the challenge.  They’ll limit mental mistakes and win this football game.

Indianapolis 24 (-3) @Washington 17

Is Indy overrated?  Even if they are, they’re more than a field goal better than the Redskins.

Tennessee 24 (-2.5) @Jacksonville 20

Coming off of their big win in Dallas, this divisional road match-up will be difficult for the Titans.  Monday night makes it even harder, but can Garrard really move the ball on Tennessee’s defense?

Over/Under

San Diego/St. Louis UNDER 45

Houston/Kansas City UNDER 44.5

New England/Baltimore UNDER 45

New Orleans/Tampa Bay OVER 43.5

Atlanta/Philadelphia OVER 42.5

New York Giants/Detroit UNDER 44.5

Chicago/Seattle UNDER 37.5

Green Bay/Miami UNDER 45.5

Pittsburgh/Cleveland OVER 37.5

New York Jets/Denver UNDER 41.5

San Francisco/Oakland UNDER 41.5

Dallas/Minnesota OVER 44.5

Indianapolis/Washington UNDER 44

Tennessee/Jacksonville UNDER 45

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