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The Sportstradamus: Week 8 NFL Game Picks

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Jonathan Bales

The majority of sports picks you find online are basically useless.  They’re slapped together in minutes and have no real connection to the actual outcome of the games.

So I figured I’d give you some more useless projections.

In all seriousness, I will pick the games and totals each week and compare my results to those of other writers and sports types around the internet.  They’ll be listed in the “Game Picks” tab under the “Gameday” category.  I just want to show you guys how a real statistician does work. . .

Notes before reading

  • An’@’ symbol is listed in front of the home team.
  • Game lines alter slightly based on the source.
  • The winner versus the spread is listed in bold.
  • I don’t advocate gambling.  These picks are simply for fun (and to prove I’m better than 95 percent of “experts” at picking games).

Week 7 Results/Overall Results

9-5 straight up/60-44 on season

7-7 against spread/52-46-6 on season

9-5 on over-under/54-49-1 on season

Week 8 Projected Scores

San Francisco 24 (-2) Denver 17

This game is actually in London. . .what a treat for the British.

@Dallas 24 Jacksonville 20 (+7)

I said last week was the last time I would pick the Cowboys. . .with the spread.  I think the offense will still be relatively dangerous with Kitna under center.

Washington (+3) 24 @Detroit 20

I’m not sure why the Redskins aren’t the favorites.  At a three point dog, the oddsmakers are basically saying they’re equal to Detroit.

@New York Jets 20 Green Bay 17 (+7)

Do the Jets really score enough points to be touchdown favorites over a team with an offense that is as explosive as Green Bay’s?

@St. Louis 21 (-2.5) Carolina 17

Both teams have young quarterbacks, awesome running backs, and poor defenses, but the Rams are at home.

Miami 21 (+1.5) @Cincinnati 17

The Dolphins are a few plays away from being 5-1.  They are the superior team.

@Kansas City 21 Buffalo 17 (+7.5)

I will take the Bills with the points all day.  There’s no way Kansas City should be receiving more than a touchdown.

@San Diego 27 Tennessee 24 (+3.5)

The Chargers are much like the Cowboys in that they come out big in difficult games and fall flat in the easy ones.  This is a must-have game against a very tough opponent.

Tampa Bay 24 (+3) @Arizona 17

Josh Freeman>Max Hall.  The Bucs are the best team in the NFC.  Just ask their coach.

@Oakland 23 (-2.5) Seattle 17

I’m back on the Raiders bandwagon, but this is the sort of game Oakland could overlook.  They need to put Seattle away early.

@New England 21 (-6) Minnesota 13

Is there a legitimate chance that Brett Favre doesn’t play?  I think he’ll give it a go, but I don’t think he’ll be effective.  The Pats will take Randy Moss out of the game.

Pittsburgh 27 (+1) @New Orleans 20

This is going to be an awesome game, but New Orleans isn’t the same team without Reggie Bush.  He’s doubtful to play.

@Indianapolis 28 (-5.5) Houston 21

The Texans get closer every season, but this is a statement game for then.  Show Indy the AFC South isn’t a cakewalk anymore.

Over/Under

San Francisco/Denver UNDER 42

Dallas/Jacksonville OVER 43

Washington/Detroit UNDER 44.5

New York Jets/Green Bay UNDER 43

St. Louis/Carolina OVER 37

Kansas City/Buffalo UNDER 46

Miami/Cincinnati UNDER 43.5

San Diego/Tennessee OVER 44

Tampa Bay/Arizona OVER 39

Oakland/Seattle UNDER 42

New England/Minnesota UNDER 44.5

New Orleans/Pittsburgh OVER 44

Indianapolis/Houston UNDER 50

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