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A New Way to Look at the Cowboys, NFL, and Fantasy Football

By Jonathan Bales

2012 NFL Mock Draft, Version 3.0: Upshaw, Jenkins Out of First

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Jonathan Bales

My third mock draft and second for the NY Times is live.  Here’s a snapshot of the first 13 picks (hey, you didn’t think I’d show you the Cowboys’ pick here, did ya?):

1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford

  • Other than the occasional unwarranted rumor, there isn’t any information suggesting the Colts will pass up Luck.

Other: None

2. Washington Redskins: Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor

  • RGIII is already signing autographs in D.C.

Other: None

3. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil, OT, U.S.C.

  • Kalil is the top tackle prospect I have watched in years. There has been speculation that the Vikings will trade down with a team that covets Texas A&M quarterback Ryan Tannehill, but for now I’ll assume they stay here and select the best available player.

Other: Morris Claiborne, CB, L.S.U.

4. Cleveland Browns: Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M

  • Tannehill might not be on the board, but I’m gaining confidence that the Browns will select him if they can.

Other: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama

5. Tampa Bay Bucs: Morris Claiborne, CB, L.S.U.

  • The Bucs are said to have interest in Claiborne and Alabama running back Trent Richardson.  One of them will be available.

Other: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama

6. St. Louis Rams: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama

  • Moving Tannehill to the No. 4 spot shakes things up a bit, and it could result in Richardson or Justin Blackmon falling some.

Other: Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State

7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State

  • I originally had the Jags choosing between offensive tackle Riley Reiff and the pass rusher Melvin Ingram, but they could easily see Blackmon as the top available player left on the board.

Other: Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa

8. Miami Dolphins: Melvin Ingram, DE/OLB, South Carolina

  • If the Dolphins want a quarterback, they’re in a poor spot.  Tannehill is unlikely to fall here and they would need to surrender a king’s ransom to move up for him.  Ingram is a no-brainer at this point.

Other: Quinton Coples, DE, UNC

9. Carolina Panthers: Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina

  • I originally had Memphis defensive tackle Dontari Poe here, but teams must be concerned about his lack of college production.  Gilmore is rising up boards faster than anyone.

Other: Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis

10. Buffalo Bills: Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa

  • Coples will be an option if he’s on the board, but with Demetress Bell to the Eagles, the Bills have a hole at left tackle.

Other: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame

11. Kansas City Chiefs: David DeCastro, G, Stanford

  • Guards aren’t normally top-15 picks, but DeCastro is worth it.

Other: Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis

12. Seattle Seahawks: Luke Kuechly, LB, Boston College

  • Kuechly’s surprising combine performance proved he’s the real deal. Athleticism and incredible production.

Other: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame

13. Arizona Cardinals: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame

  • I don’t think this would be a smart pick for Arizona, but they reportedly have interest in DeCastro and Floyd.

Other: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama

Click it on over to the Times for the full mock draft.  I’ll tell you I have Courtney Upshaw and Janoris Jenkins completely out of the first round in this one.  Both players could certainly go in the first 32 selections, but a lot of teams will be scared off by the risk surrounding each player (Jenkins with drugs and Upshaw with, you know, not being good and all).

For those interested, I’m finishing up my Big Board and should have it up by the end of the week.  I will also be attending the first two days of the draft in New York.  Anyone interested in another live blog?

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4 Responses to 2012 NFL Mock Draft, Version 3.0: Upshaw, Jenkins Out of First

  1. trent says:

    Dude, there’s no way we take Barron, if Cox, Coples, Brockers and Poe are still available (at least I hope so).

    Personally, I am stoked about Coples’s current slide, and hope very much that he is our pick (or we can get a quality trade down).

    Also, next year’s safety class is supposed to be the bee’s knees, so hopefully, we can do well with Pool and Sensabaugh for one more year. I like that tandem, so I am more than happy to stick with them rather than reaching for this class’s one legitimate safety (who plays more like a linebacker anyway).

  2. Well, I’d actually prefer Barron over all those guys. I really can’t see Garrett taking either Coples or Poe, both of whom have work ethic concerns. Your points about the 2013 safety class is a good one…wonder how much stock the team puts into future classes.

  3. Tyrone Jenkins says:

    As much as I was down on Barron, he DOES make the most sense. He’s not Earl Thomas, but he could be Troy Polomalu (if he’s developed correctly).

    I think the Boys are aware of Barron’s shortcomings in coverage – there really hasn’t been a S available past the 8th pick in recent pass that IS good in coverage. If Sensy can make the move and use his instincts more in a pass coverage manner (which I think he can), Barron is a good pick or at least a pick that is better than Poe, Brockers and Coples.

    If Cox is still on the board, I’d go w/ him instead.

  4. Tyrone–I think we’d all take a Polamalu clone. FYI..my Big Board will be up soon and I moved Barron up after watching a bunch more film on him…I have him ranked #13.

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