Cowboys’ 3rd Down Running Should Increase
Over at NBC, I just posted an article on why the Cowboys should run the ball more often on third down. If you’re familiar with my work, you know I rarely suggest running the football, so soak it in while you can get it. . .
The Cowboys have been no exception to the run-the-ball-on-third-down rule over the past few years. Since I began tracking offensive plays, the ‘Boys have been around 15 percent more likely to convert plays on 3rd and 1 to 3rd and 5 if they run the football instead of pass it. That goes for every down-and-distance in that sub-set, and that’s in spite of one of the league’s worst short-yardage rushing attacks over that timeframe.
Not all of you agree with me on my pass-the-ball-70-percent-of-the-time mentality, but there are a few situations when I think NFL teams should actually run more: near the end zone, in short-yardage situations on third and fourth down, at the end of games, and on third down.