The DC Times

A New Way to Look at the Cowboys, NFL, and Fantasy Football

By Jonathan Bales

Running the Numbers: 5 Myths About Cowboys

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My latest at DallasCowboys.com takes a look at five myths surrounding the Dallas Cowboys. One of them is something you guys know I love to talk about. . .

Myth No. 2: The Cowboys win games by running the football.

Running the ball is strongly correlated with winning, so teams obviously need a powerful rushing attack to win games, right? Not really. Teams that are already winning rush the football to close out games, creating the illusion that running often is the impetus for team success. In reality, teams generally acquire the lead by throwing the football with great efficiency.

The Cowboys are no exception to the rule. Since 2008, they’ve won just 27.6 percent of their games when they pass on greater than 57 percent of their offensive plays. Wow, better keep it on the ground, right?

Before jumping to conclusions, soak this one in: That win rate miraculously jumps to 63.6 percent when the ’Boys pass on at least 57 percent of plays through the first three quarters, compared to only 41.9 percent when they pass on fewer than 57 percent of plays.

The Cowboys are a passing team, built to win on the back of Romo and his arsenal of pass-catching weapons.

Read the other four myths at the team site.

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One Response to Running the Numbers: 5 Myths About Cowboys

  1. Craig Kocay says:

    Myth number 4 was really cool. Can I quit doing stats for my company and come do them for you?

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