Running the Numbers: Stats on Atlanta Falcons
At DallasCowboys.com, I posted some interesting numbers on the Falcons.
35.1: Percentage of Falcons’ runs that have increased the probability of scoring.
The Falcons live and die by the pass. Only four teams in the NFL have had less rushing success than Atlanta (in terms of efficiency). Even the Cowboys, who have obviously had their troubles rushing the ball, have increased expected points on 40 percent of their rushes. Meanwhile, Atlanta has increased the probability of scoring on 57 percent of their passes, the best number in the league. Dallas isn’t too far behind in passing success rate at 53.5 percent.
105.5: Matt Ryan’s passer rating when blitzed.
Ryan has managed just 5.7 yards-per-attempt in the face of pressure this season, but much like Eli Manning, he’s been able to beat the blitz by getting the ball out quickly. The Cowboys were able to stifle the Giants’ passing offense last week and in the season opener by playing with two deep safeties on the majority of snaps. Against Ryan and his elite receiving trio of Julio Jones, Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez, I think you’ll see a lot of the same. Thus, the Cowboys once again need to find a way to get pressure on Ryan without sending extra rushers.