The DC Times

A New Way to Look at the Cowboys, NFL, and Fantasy Football

By Jonathan Bales

Tony Romo’s Off-Target Passes in 2012

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One unique stat I track is Tony Romo’s off-target passes. It’s an attempt to determine how often Romo makes the throws he can and should make.

Romo’s outstanding late-season play will be forgotten, but it’s also reflected in his off-target passes. I track every one of Romo’s throws as being either “on-target” or “off-target.” It helps determine how well Romo is really playing because it accounts for things like drops and receivers failing to get open. It’s really a gauge of whether or not Romo is making the throws that he can.

Romo threw 93 off-target passes in 2012—14.4 percent of all throws—or nearly six per game. A lot of times, Romo actually plays either better or worse than his stats indicate, and the off-target throws reflect it. Against the Chicago Bears, for example, Romo tossed five interceptions, prompting many to call it one of his worst games ever. The truth is that Romo didn’t play all that bad against the Bears; he threw only five off-target passes all game—one fewer than in his average contest.

Check out the whole article at NBC.

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