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Running the Numbers: Terrance Williams Stats/Measurables

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At DallasCowboys.com, I took an analytical look at third-round pick Terrance Williams.

The first thing that jumps out about Williams is his staggering 2012 production for Baylor: 97 receptions, 1,832 yards, and 12 touchdowns. College production is perhaps the most overlooked aspect of grading prospects; the best predictor of future performance is past success. Williams obviously had that in his senior season. We shouldn’t dismiss the fact that he dominated Big 12 competition.

Prior to 2012, though, Williams never surpassed 60 receptions or 1,000 yards in a single season. Why? Part of it is probably due to Baylor’s offense, but another potential explanation is that Williams, who was redshirted all the way back in 2008, played the 2012 season at age 23. There’s quite a difference between a 23-year-old and a 20-year-old in terms of maturity and experience.

Williams will begin his rookie season at age 24; compare that to Browns second-year receiver Josh Gordon, who caught 50 passes for 805 yards and five touchdowns last year in his rookie campaign at age 21. By the time Gordon is 24 years old, he’ll be in his fourth season in the NFL. That’s invaluable to Cleveland. Whereas Williams’ age 24 season will basically be a learning experience, Gordon could very well already be playing at near peak efficiency. Williams’ age isn’t debilitating to his career outlook by any means, but it should still be a factor in our assessment.

Think of it this way: If Williams had come out of school after the 2011 season, one in which he caught 59 passes for 957 yards, where would he have been drafted? Probably not in the third round. The question is whether or not Williams maxed out on his potential in college because he was more experienced than the competition, playing at an age a few years older than many NFL rookies. It’s tough to tell, but there are other things to like about Williams.

Head over to the team site for the full post.

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