100 Fantasy Football Tips in 100 Days, Day 26: How to Value Quarterbacks in 2-QB Leagues
At RotoWire, I discussed how to value quarterbacks in leagues that require two starters.
In my first book Fantasy Football for Smart People: How to Dominate Your Draft, I advocate using the number of total starters in the league at a specific position as the baseline number. In a one-quarterback league, using the points scored by the No. 12-ranked quarterback from the prior season is a fine baseline.
But in leagues in which you’re forced to start two quarterbacks, you need to refine your baseline because there’s a major difference between starting the No. 24-ranked quarterback versus starting Aaron Rodgers. Last year’s No. 24-ranked quarterback was Ryan Tannehill, whose 183 fantasy points were 163 fewer than No. 1 quarterback Drew Brees‘.
Using the No. 24 quarterback as the new baseline, I re-charted 2012 VBD to account for two-quarterback leagues. The results are pretty awesome.
The VBD for the quarterbacks in two-quarterback leagues (orange) is almost a mirror image of that for the running backs (purple). The steep drop at the running back position was due to Peterson’s outlier season, so we can pretty much throw it out. That means that the value of quarterbacks is effectively the same as their running back counterparts. But what does that look like? Pretty surprising. Check out the quarterbacks and running backs below, listed by ADP.
If 2013 VBD looks anything like that in 2012, the value of quarterbacks in leagues that require two starters is startling. Colin Kaepernick the same as Trent Richardson? Andrew Luck as valuable as Maurice Jones-Drew? Michael Vick in the same round as David Wilson? It might seem outrageous, but there’s really value to be had on quarterbacks in two-quarterback leagues.