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100 Fantasy Football Tips in 100 Days, Day 29: Ranking Running Backs in PPR

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At RotoWire, I examined how standard ADP compares to PPR ADP for running backs. My hunch was that pass-catching backs would actually be overvalued in PPR leagues, but that’s not the case:

By subtracting the projected standard points from the PPR projection, we can determine the consensus receptions for each running back. Below, I charted this information, along with how that number compares to the running back’s 2012 reception total.

Player ADP (Standard) Points (Standard) ADP (PPR) Points (PPR) Receptions Projection – 2012 Receptions
Jamaal Charles 5 235 4 278 43 8
C.J. Spiller 6 222 6 255 33 -10
Ray Rice 7 212 7 251 39 -21
Trent Richardson 9 205 9 240 35 -16
Alfred Morris 10 203 10 225 22 11
Steven Jackson 11 197 12 216 19 -19
Darren McFadden 19 156 20 179 23 -19
Reggie Bush 17 145 14 207 62 27
Darren Sproles 23 130 18 186 56 -19

This confirms pass-catching running backs are still undervalued in PPR leagues. There are only three backs whose ADP suggests more receptions than they had in 2012: Charles,Alfred Morris and Reggie Bush. Charles and Bush are both in situations in which they should actually see more targets, so their ADPs are probably accurate. Meanwhile, Morris isn’t dropping a single spot in PPR leagues as compared to standard formats, suggesting he’s overvalued as a back who doesn’t catch many passes.

Don’t worry. I didn’t undervalue pass-catching backs in my 2013 Draft Package.

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