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100 Fantasy Football Tips in 100 Days, Day 3: Game Theory

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Today’s sample comes from my first book How to Dominate Your Draft.

Fantasy football is a game of competing decision-makers, i.e. others minds are involved. Almost all aspects of the game are zero-sum, meaning when one owner gains, another loses. It is really a complex game of rock-paper-scissors. As such, we can and should use game theory as a mode of decision-making.

Game theory is a strategic decision-making process that applies to zero-sum games, and wherein the beliefs of others affect your decisions. It is worth noting NFL play-calling is all about game theory; run when they expect you to pass, and vice versa. While game theory is an umbrella term that can apply to a plethora of processes, I’ve always liked to think of it as acting one step ahead of your opponents.

We can talk about projections, rankings, and scarcity all day, but if you don’t understand the intentions of others in your league, you’re going to draft sub-optimally.

By the way, How to Dominate Your Draft, which is available on Kindleas a PDF, and in paperback, is updated for 2013.

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