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3 Stats That Point to Better Days for Dallas in 2013

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At DallasCowboys.com, I broke down three stats that might suggest improvement for the Cowboys this season. Here’s one:

Tony Romo threw 19 interceptions.

Romo’s 19 interceptions led the league and tied a career-high. Some take it as a sign that Romo is slipping, but there’s almost no chance that he matches that total again in 2013. For one, Romo threw 648 times in 2012 – 98 more attempts than his previous high. Second, he tossed a pick on 2.9 percent of his passes. That’s slightly higher than his career average, but it’s significantly greater than the 2.0 percent interception rate that Romo posted in the previous three seasons.

Romo’s interceptions had been trending downward prior to 2012, a season in which game situations really affected his decision-making. He definitely threw some poor interceptions, but he also had games like the Monday night matchup with the Chicago Bears – a five-interception performance – in which he purposely attempted a lot of risky passes in order to attempt a comeback. Whereas many quarterbacks would play conservatively to preserve their stats, Romo has always implemented a high-variance strategy to maximize the Cowboys’ win probability. That means that, assuming the Cowboys aren’t losing so frequently in 2013, a reasonable assumption, Romo won’t be in a position to attempt so many passes with the potential of getting intercepted.

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