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Will Brandon Carr make the Pro Bowl?

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At NBC, I suggested four reasons Brandon Carr could make the Pro Bowl in 2013. Here’s one:

High Ceiling

Earlier this year, I projected Carr with the following line:

57 receptions on 90 targets (63.3 percent) for 630 yards (7.0 YPA), 1.08 yards per snap, 63 tackles, five interceptions

Those are good numbers, but they’re not necessarily Pro Bowl-worthy. However, when I project a player, I’m looking for the most likely outcome. The distribution of potential seasons for any player is pretty wide, and Pro Bowl players are the ones who necessarily landed on the high end of their potential production.

So for Carr to make the Pro Bowl, he needs to have a high ceiling, i.e. at least a moderate amount of potential seasons with elite production. Given his talent and fit in Kiffin’s scheme, I think he has that. While Carr’s most likely season might involve four or five picks, seven or eight aren’t out of the question, and that would at least get him in the Pro Bowl conversation.

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