100 Fantasy Football Tips in 100 Days, Day 73: My Bold Predictions for 2013
In case you missed it, I posted 17 bold fantasy football predictions for 2013 over at FF Today. Here’s a sample of the running backs:
4. Jamaal Charles will finish the season first in points in PPR leagues.
Adrian Peterson is the favorite to lead the league in rushing, but Charles has an enormous ceiling in Andy Reid’s offense. I have him projected at 65 catches, and it could be more. Charles is the most efficient running back in NFL history by nearly a half-yard per carry.
5. Trent Richardson will rank No. 2.
Substitute Richardson for Charles and Norv Turner for Andy Reid.
6. C.J. Spiller will outperform Adrian Peterson.
If Spiller sees even a moderate RB1 workload, he has No. 1 overall potential. Even projecting Spiller at 275 carries, he comes out fifth in my PPR rankings. Peterson’s median projection is probably higher, but Spiller’s upside is potentially the greatest for any runner in the league.
7. Le’Veon Bell will outscore Marshawn Lynch.
I’m low on Lynch for a number of reasons, but let’s focus on Bell right now; he’s a 4.60 running back—which is tolerable given his weight of 230 pounds—who is going to be thrust into the lineup as the immediate No. 1 back in a run-heavy offense. He should approach 300 touches, and running backs actually come into the league playing at near-peak efficiency.
As a whole, running backs peak at age 22, and it’s a slow decline from there. Bell > Lynch.