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100 Fantasy Football Tips in 100 Days, Day 92: Comparing Expert Rankings to ADP

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At RotoWire, I compared aggregate expert PPR rankings to current ADP:

Today, I’m going to compare the RotoWire team’s PPR Top 50 Rankings to current ADP.

Rank Player ADP Difference % Change
3 C.J. Spiller 5 2 40
11 Brandon Marshall 16 5 31.3
47 Shane Vereen 65 18 27.7
44 Torrey Smith 60 16 26.7
42 Jordy Nelson 55 13 23.6
10 Dez Bryant 13 3 23.1
48 Mike Wallace 61 13 21.3
46 Giovani Bernard 58 12 20.7
16 Demaryius Thomas 20 4 20
33 Danny Amendola 41 8 19.5
30 Vincent Jackson 37 7 18.9
31 Lamar Miller 38 7 18.4
28 Victor Cruz 34 6 17.6
5 Calvin Johnson 6 1 16.7
20 Maurice Jones-Drew 24 4 16.7
22 Larry Fitzgerald 26 4 15.4
39 Cam Newton 46 7 15.2
45 Hakeem Nicks 52 7 13.5
26 Roddy White 30 4 13.3
27 Andre Johnson 31 4 12.9
7 LeSean McCoy 8 1 12.5
8 Trent Richardson 9 1 11.1
43 Eddie Lacy 48 5 10.4
50 Vernon Davis 54 4 7.4
13 A.J. Green 14 1 7.1
40 Dwayne Bowe 42 2 4.8
14 Julio Jones 19 5 2.6
49 Ryan Mathews 50 1 2
1 Adrian Peterson 1 0 0
2 Doug Martin 2 0 0
4 Jamaal Charles 4 0 0
12 Matt Forte 12 0 0
15 Jimmy Graham 15 0 0
29 Randall Cobb 28 -1 -3.6
24 Aaron Rodgers 23 -1 -4.3
23 Drew Brees 22 -1 -4.5
18 Chris Johnson 17 -1 -5.9
38 Peyton Manning 35 -3 -8.6
36 David Wilson 33 -3 -9.1
41 Darren McFadden 36 -5 -13.9
37 Frank Gore 32 -5 -15.6
21 Steven Jackson 18 -3 -16.7
25 Reggie Bush 21 -4 -19
35 DeMarco Murray 29 -6 -20.7
34 Darren Sproles 27 -7 -25.9
32 Stevan Ridley 25 -7 -28
9 Ray Rice 7 -2 -28.5
17 Marshawn Lynch 10 -7 -70
19 Alfred Morris 11 -8 -72.7
6 Arian Foster 3 -3 -100

The players ranked at the top are those who are ranked higher in our composite rankings than in ADP. I chose to use the percentage change because I believe a three-spot drop in the first round is way more important than a three-spot drop in the fourth round. Arian Foster is getting drafted at No. 3 overall, for example, yet we’ve ranked him at No. 6 overall. That’s a very meaningful drop.

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