Prediction: Cowboys’ Screens Will Double (Or Triple)
At NBC, I explained why I think the Cowboys will and should use way more screen passes.
I track all plays each year, and the ‘Boys ran only 24 screens in all of 2012—1.5 per game. On top of that, only eight of those screens were to running backs. Eight! That’s one running back screen every two games. The rest were to wide receivers or Jason Witten.
So if the Cowboys want to keep rushers back or utilize their momentum against them, they should probably be running way more screen passes. All of their running backs are above-average receivers out of the backfield, and the passes could really work as an extension of the running game. There’s a very low chance for an incompletion on a screen, but it has more upside and a longer average gain than a rushing play. It’s really a rushing play with a higher ceiling.