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Assessing DeMarco Murray in Week 3, Beyond

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At Dallas News, I examined DeMarco Murray’s future, starting in Week 3 vs. the Rams:

Using Murray’s comps as a guide, we can estimate the likelihood of him hitting certain milestones this week. First, the touchdowns:

You can see there’s around a 64 percent chance that Murray doesn’t score in this game and an 84 percent chance that he scores no more than one time. His projected yards tells a different story:

Of the five different subsets of total yards, the single most likely is 121 or more. Actually, based on his comps, Murray has right around a one-in-three shot of breaking out for at least 121 yards on Sunday.

And some of those players went for way more; there were two performances of at least 220 yards and seven with at least 160. That means that of the eight players who went for at least 121 total yards, seven of them actually totaled at least 160 yards.

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