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Why I think DeMarcus Ware will slow down in second half of 2013

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At Dallas News, I argued that DeMarcus Ware isn’t likely to keep up his current pace deep into the 2013 season:

Prior to the season, I projected defensive end DeMarcus Ware at just 10.5 sacks in 2013. A major reason for that prediction was that Ware’s production has been trending downward for some time.

Part of Ware’s 2012 decline was certainly due to his injuries; he was banged up for much of the year and really played the majority of the season unhealthy. Still, his career curve resembles that of the typical pass-rusher

I bet that Ware’s drop in production last season was due more so to his age than his injuries. It was probably a combination of both, but the defensive end’s early 2013 dominance as a pass-rusher suggests that he’s still got something left in the tank, when healthy.

The problem is that he’s playing at an age that makes him far more susceptible to injuries than someone a half-decade younger. If you recall, Ware actually played outstanding football to start the 2012 season, too. He had four sacks in his first three games—the same as this season—six sacks in the first five games, and 10 of his 11.5 sacks in the first 10 contests.

There’s no doubt that Ware is playing great football right now. He’s pressured the quarterback on 10 percent of his rushes—near the levels of pass-rushing efficiency he posted in 2010 and 2011, when he had 35 sacks combined. But can he keep it up?

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