How George Selvie Can Get Back on Track
At Bleacher Report, I examined George Selvie’s 2013 season:
Producing Right Now
Using Pro Football Reference’s approximate value as a guide, I charted the productivity of the league’s top pass-rushers by age.
Although Selvie seems like a new player, he’s already 26 years old. That’s actually the age of peak production for the typical defensive end.
And take a look at the age 31-32 group—where defensive end DeMarcus Ware sits right now. Although defensive ends can typically produce at a high level into their 30s, the average 31-year-old is still at less than 90 percent of his previous peak. That could explain at least part of Ware’s inconsistent play in 2013.
In addition, there’s some evidence that Ware might fade late in the year.
Without much help from the linebackers or interior line, the ‘Boys desperately need Selvie to step up.
Early in the year, Selvie was dominant at times. He has three sacks through five games, putting him on pace for right around 10, but his pressure rate suggests he should have more. Selvie has 15 pressures this year, according to Pro Football Focus (subscription required), and I’ve found that sacks tend to add up to around one-quarter of pressures over the long run. So Selvie’s most likely sack total after five games is actually four.
Selvie’s second sack of the year came in Week 3 against the Rams. As usual, he was lined up on the left side of the Cowboys’ defense, over the right tackle.
The Cowboys ran a twist on the play, with defensive tackle Jason Hatcher looping around and Selvie slanting in. Selvie was initially double-teamed before the right tackle kicked out to pick up Hatcher.
Selvie used his long arms to gain separation from the right guard before disengaging and eventually bringing down quarterback Sam Bradford.