The DC Times

A New Way to Look at the Cowboys, NFL, and Fantasy Football

By Jonathan Bales

ICYMI: A look back at my 2013 Dallas Cowboys, NFL predictions

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In case you missed it, I broke down my 2013 Cowboys predictions over at Bleacher Report:

I am of the opinion that every writer, analyst and expert covering any field should make specific predictions for which they should be held accountable. As it stands now, writers in particular sometimes have little incentive to make accurate predictions. With no skin in the game, what’s to stop them from simply making bold claims for the sake of drumming up controversy?

If all writers were forced to make very particular prognostications and then revisit those predictions to see where they went right and wrong, there would be a pretty strong incentive (pride and reputation) to get it right.

Most important, it would help readers understand who knows what they’re talking about and whose content is full of fluff. It’s really easy to look back on past events and analyze them after the fact, but it’s an entirely different endeavor to put yourself on the line in predicting what will take place in the future. It’s easier said than done.

This idea is why I make a number of very specific preseason predictions, as well as scrutinize the predictions after the season.

In 2012, I had what was, at the time, my best year in regards to Cowboys-specific predictions. I analyzed all of them right here, so you can check out my accuracy.

I say “at the time” because I think my 2013 predictions were even more accurate. I’ve listed the majority of them in this slideshow, both good and bad. I actually believe the predictions that go wrong are much more valuable because 1) I can determine if I indeed made a mistake (sometimes you can make a great prediction that simply doesn’t pan out) and 2) I can tweak the models or numbers I use to make predictions to enhance future accuracy.

See the predictions and analysis here.

Also, I just remembered to take a look at my preseason standings/playoff predictions. I posted those at Dallas News.

  • Wild Card Round

Saints over Redskins

Cowboys over Falcons

Patriots over Dolphins

Bengals over Titans

  • Divisional Round

49ers over Cowboys

Packers over Saints

Broncos over Bengals

Patriots over Texans

NFC Champion: 49ers

AFC Champion: Broncos

Super Bowl Champion: Broncos

Coach of the Year: Sean Payton

Offensive MVP: Aaron Rodgers

Defensive MVP: J.J. Watt

Offensive Rookie of the Year: DeAndre Hopkins

Defensive Rookie of the Year: Dion Jordan

My preseason Super Bowl prediction of Niners-Broncos is still alive. If you want to know the likelihood that my preaseason prediction comes to fruition, you can see the odds right here.

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One Response to ICYMI: A look back at my 2013 Dallas Cowboys, NFL predictions

  1. Edmond says:

    As a niner fan im trying to understand how u thought Seattle wouldn’t make the playoffs this year. Anyone could see that team was on the rise even me who predicted this very outcome before the season started. Seahawks being champions when it’s all said and done. The NFC title game winner is the automatic super bowl champion in my opinion.

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