Dallas Cowboys 7-Round 2014 Mock Draft
I just unveiled a seven-round Cowboys mock draft over at BR. Here’s an explanation of why I find them to be valuable, along with a sneak peek of the first pick.
The Dallas Cowboys‘ 2014 draft class isn’t going to be accurately predicted in any mock draft (not even close).
So why do them?
Mock drafts have value because they allow teams to visualize different paths they can create for themselves (or those that will be created by virtue of the selections made by other teams).
The Cowboys will likely perform their own mock drafts in the coming months as a way to understand the probability of certain prospects being available for them to pick in each round. Single mock drafts are analogous to individual presidential polls; alone, they don’t have much value because preferences can change over short periods of time. But a series of such drafts can allow teams to better anticipate their options.
Further, mocks also allow us to analyze prospects in ever greater detail and forecast how a proposed selection early in the proceedings could affect the rest of a team’s draft. With each selection, teams should be asking themselves “What does this player give us? What does his selection limit us from doing in subsequent rounds?”
Without further ado, let’s get into one potential path for the Dallas Cowboys in 2014.
Round 1: Kony Ealy, DE, Missouri
The Cowboys are clearly in the market for defensive linemen, and Missouri’s Kony Ealy is an interesting name to watch in the first round. Projected to get selected right around the Cowboys’ pick (currently No. 17 overall), Ealy would likely compete right out of the gate for a starting defensive end spot with George Selvie.
Ealy is a long defensive end at 6’5″, 275 pounds. He’s very athletic and a force against the run, but the question is whether he has enough pass-rushing ability to justify a top-20 selection; he did not show much promise as an edge-rusher until his final season at Missouri when he recorded eight sacks.
What His Selection Would Mean
Ealy’s selection would likely mean the Cowboys would bypass other defensive ends in the next few rounds. There are a lot of quality options who could fall to them in the second round (Stanford’s Trent Murphy, Louisville’s Marcus Smith, Oregon State’s Scott Crichton), so it will be up to Dallas to determine if the drop-off in talent from Ealy is enough to justify selecting him in the first.
This mode of decision-making, known as position scarcity, shows why a “best player available” draft strategy is bogus; without properly evaluating position depth and the value of potential replacement picks, teams cannot maximize the overall talent of their draft classes.