The DC Times

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100 Fantasy Football Tips in 100 Days, Day 20: Watch out for QBs in cold weather.

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Today’s tip comes from my book Fantasy Football (and Baseball) for Smart People:

I’ve mentioned the importance of checking the weather in baseball on numerous occasions. Checking the weather is important in the NFL, especially late in the season.

To show why this is the case, I charted the effect that temperature (at kickoff) has on passing production.

QB Temp

There’s a pretty linear relationship here, with a very obvious drop when the temperature dips to around 20 degrees or below. That doesn’t mean that a quarterback is fine if it’s 21 degrees and doomed at 20 degrees, obviously—there’s more of a range of efficiency—but the point is that very cold temperatures can have a significant effect on passing totals.

You can buy the book on Amazon.

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