100 Fantasy Football Tips in 100 Days, Day 26: How to Approach the Flex
Today’s tip is to really examine projected points and ADP for different positions in leagues that require a flex starter. From my new book Fantasy Football for Smart People: How Fantasy Football Pros Game Plan to Win:
Draft values change, but recently, fantasy owners have placed too much emphasis on backs in PPR leagues with a flex. To help you visualize this, I charted the number of running backs and wide receivers drafted after each of the first eight rounds in 2013 expert flex PPR leagues. Yes, experts drafting, but in a totally sub-optimal way.
You can see the number of running backs drafted was higher than the number of wide receivers until the end of the sixth round, which is traditionally where the positions have leveled out, i.e. these numbers aren’t unique to 2013.
To understand why this is important, take a look at historic VBD (or even just bulk points) for wide receivers versus running backs in PPR leagues. Backs are still overvalued in leagues that award a point for each catch and also require at least one flex starter.