In Week 11, I went 11-4 straight up, 9-3-3 against the spread, and 7-6 on totals. That brings my record on the year to 109-53 straight up, 79-77-5 ATS, and 89-69-1 on totals. Only one ESPN expert has a better record than me on straight up picks, and I’m sure I’ll pass him by the end of the year.
As it stands right now, this figures to be my fourth (out of four) straight year being profitable in NFL. If you bet in NFL every game and over/under, you’d be 22 games above .500. Although this isn’t a great year for me, it’s still a decent record considering I pick every game and total.
Let’s take a look at the NFL game lines for Week 12 and make some picks…
Week 12 NFL Game Picks
New Orleans 31 (-9.5) @Atlanta 21 (UNDER 53.5)
@Detroit 30 (-8.5) Tampa Bay 20 (OVER 48.5)
@Houston 28 Jacksonville 20 (+10) (OVER 43)
@Green Bay 34 (-3.5) Minnesota 20 (OVER 44)
@Kansas City 24 San Diego 20 (+5.5) (OVER 41.5)
@Carolina 24 (-4) Miami 17 (UNDER 41.5)
@Cleveland 23 (-1) Pittsburgh 20 (OVER 39.5)
Chicago 23 (+1.5) @St. Louis 17 (UNDER 46.5)
@Baltimore 24 NY Jets 20 (+4.5) (OVER 38.5)
Tennessee 23 (+1) @Oakland 20 (OVER 41)
@Arizona 23 (-1.5) Indy 21 (UNDER 45.5)
@NY Giants 24 (-2.5) Dallas 17 (UNDER 46)
Denver 28 (-2.5) @New England 23 (UNDER 55)
San Fran 21 @Washington 20 (+6) (UNDER 47.5)
Here’s another take on the Cowboys-Giants matchup from CBS Sports:
Dallas (5-5) at NY Giants (4-6), 4:25 p.m. ET
Last week, Redskins linebacker London Fletcher decided to rank the teams in the NFC East. Despite the Cowboys being tied with Philadelphia atop the division at the time, Fletcher ranked the Eagles first, the Giants second, the Cowboys third and the Redskins last. London Fletcher has played in 250 consecutive NFL games, so I feel like he knows more about football than I do. I think my point here is that I’m going to roll with his rankings. Also, the Cowboys pass defense somehow manages to get worse every week and I think Eli will take advantage of that — like every other quarterback has this season.
Giants 30-27 over the Cowboys.
And one more from SB Nation:
Dallas comes off a bye week aiming to blunt the momentum of the division-rival New York Giants. And two key trends indicate the Cowboys are in good shape to return a profit at the sportsbook window.
The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS past 8 seasons following a bye week and 6-2 ATS in their past eight games as an underdog. They are trying to move into a tie atop the NFC East, while derailing the Giants’ hopes of becoming the first NFL to ever start 0-6 and still make the playoffs.