The DC Times

A New Way to Look at the Cowboys, NFL, and Fantasy Football

By Jonathan Bales

My 2013 Final Standings, Playoffs, and Super Bowl Predictions

It’s that time of the year again: the time when I make more accurate predictions than any writer you’ll find. I posted my 2013 final standings at Dallas News:

Predicting Playoff Teams

We hear the same line every year: six teams from last year’s playoffs will be miss the postseason this year. Guess what? That information is useless and, if you’re using it to make predictions, it’s also dangerous. I wrote about this idea a couple years ago:

While it is a virtual certainty that some (and often times, many) different teams will make the playoffs in a given season, I disagree with the notion that it is rational to displace a talented team with a mediocre one in one’s playoff predictions simply to accommodate the “six new teams will make the playoffs” trend.

The reasoning is simple. For the sake of argument, let’s suppose that all of the playoff teams from last season have a 50 percent chance of making the playoffs again this year, while the non-playoff teams have a 30 percent chance of making it.

Which specific group of 12 teams is the most likely to make the playoffs? It is actually the same group as last season (in this hypothetical example). Of course, the chance of that exact group of 12 making it again is incredibly small, but that isn’t a reason to not predict it will happen.

While we can be fairly certain the group of playoff teams will contain some newcomers, we don’t know which newcomers it will be, and we don’t know which teams they’ll replace.  To predict that a team with a 30 percent chance of making the playoffs will do so at the expense of a team with a 50 percent chance is simply bad math.

The idea is that even though we pretty much know the playoff teams will be different from last season, it’s foolish to predict teams to make the playoffs just because they didn’t make it last year. It’s the same idea as everyone picking a 12 seed over a 5 seed in the NCAA tournament; although it’s likely that at least one 5 seed will go down, we’re still justified in choosing each of them to win, assuming they’re all the favorites, because we don’t know which 12 seed will win.

Okay, let’s get to the predictions. . .

Final 2013 Standings

  • NFC East

Dallas Cowboys (10-6)
Washington Redskins (10-6)
New York Giants (9-7)
Philadelphia Eagles (9-7)

  • NFC North

Green Bay Packers (11-5)
Detroit Lions (8-8)
Chicago Bears (7-9)
Minnesota Vikings (5-11)

  • NFC South

New Orleans Saints (10-6)
Atlanta Falcons (10-6)
Carolina Panthers (10-6)
Tampa Bay Bucs (6-10)

  • NFC West

San Francisco 49ers (12-4)
St. Louis Rams (9-7)
Seattle Seahawks (9-7)
Arizona Cardinals (4-12)

  • AFC East

New England Patriots (10-6)
Miami Dolphins (8-8)
Buffalo Bills (6-10)
New York Jets (5-11)

  • AFC North

Cincinnati Bengals (10-6)
Pittsburgh Steelers (7-9)
Baltimore Ravens (7-9)
Cleveland Browns (6-10)

  • AFC South

Houston Texans (11-5)
Tennessee Titans (9-7)
Indianapolis Colts (7-9)
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-12)

  • AFC West

Denver Broncos (13-3)
Kansas City Chiefs (6-10)
San Diego Chargers (5-11)
Oakland Raiders (3-13)

Check out my playoff results and award winners right here.

By Jonathan Bales

Cowboys Analysis: Lance Dunbar and Third Downs

A couple articles of note today. At NBC, I posted more on running back Lance Dunbar.

Dunbar is out for the time being with a sprained foot, but he sure looked impressive during his limited action. The shifty running back averaged 5.6 YPC on his eight rushes and caught all six of his targets for 83 yards, highlighted of course by the big 43-yard reception on which Dunbar fumbled the ball. I wouldn’t worry too much about the fumble unless it becomes a habit; what’s more important is that Dunbar is showing the sort of explosiveness that Joseph Randle doesn’t possess.

Coming out of North Texas, Dunbar was timed anywhere from the low-4.4s to the high 4.4s. Players with his small stature need speed. It’s basically a prerequisite at the running back position; backs in Dunbar’s range of speed have produced at over four times the rate of those as fast as Randle. Randle’s 4.63 time was really poor in isolation, but it’s especially poor when you consider that he’s just 204 pounds.

And at Dallas News, I posted some info on the Cowboys’ 2012 third downs.

The Cowboys were one of the best third down teams in the NFL last year, due primarily to their passing offense. As I searched through my database, I found some cool numbers on the Cowboys’ third/fourth down plays. Check it out.

Interestingly, the Cowboys were better on third-and-four than they were on third-and-one through third-and-three. At first I thought that was because they couldn’t run the ball all that well, but the ‘Boys were actually a decent short-yardage rushing team last year. So I compared the Cowboys’ conversions to those across the league.

You can see that Dallas was a little bit better than average on third-and-short, but significantly better than most NFL teams on third-and-medium. Their advantage extended from third-and-three to third-and-six.

By Jonathan Bales

The Top 10 Players on the Cowboys Heading Into 2013

At DallasCowboys.com, I ranked my top 10 Cowboys for the future. Here’s No. 10 through No. 7:

10. CB Orlando Scandrick

This will probably be the most unpopular pick on here. No Jason Witten, no Anthony Spencer, noJason Hatcher, but the stat dork has Orlando Scandrick in his top 10!? I think the perception of Scandrick is warped a bit because, as mentioned, he has a hefty contract. He probably hasn’t lived up to that, but I ranked Scandrick as the top cornerback on the team in 2012.

Playing in the slot, a much tougher spot to play than outside, Scandrick allowed a 51.3 percent completion rate, 5.7 yards per attempt (YPA) and zero touchdowns. He’s a poor tackler, but the 68.5 passer rating he allowed last year made up for that.

9. RB DeMarco Murray

As the 2013 season approaches, I’m becoming more and more bullish on Murray. We all know he can play; he’s averaged 4.8 yards per carry in his two seasons and was on pace for 67 receptions last year. The problem has been his health. As I’ve explained in the past, however, there’s no way we can tell at this time if Murray is truly injury prone or just unlucky; the sample of injuries has just been too small.

I’m betting on superior health in 2013, and a really big year. It’s not like the league is littered with young, 220-pound backs with 4.41 speed who can catch passes. Here’s more on why I think Murray will break out.

8. CB Brandon Carr

Carr was decent in 2012, allowing a 58.6 percent completion rate and 7.4 YPA. I think he’ll have more opportunities to make plays in Monte Kiffin’s defense. He’d be higher on this list if he were a few years younger than 27.

7. LT Tyron Smith

Smith has taken some time to develop, but that’s to be expected from a player who came into the NFL at the age of 20. Think about this: Third-round pick Terrance Williams will turn 24 a few weeks into the 2013 season, but Smith won’t be 23 until December. That’s a reason we should expect Williams to produce early in his career, but it’s also a reason to not be so concerned about Smith. He’s an elite talent who’s basically a “rookie” with two years of NFL experience.



See the rest right here.

By Jonathan Bales

2013 NFL Left Tackle Rankings: Tyron Smith in Top 10

At Dallas News, I used stats to rank the league’s best left tackles. Here are my top 10:

A few weeks ago, I posted an article from Pete Prisco that ranks the NFL’s best players at four important positions: quarterback, pass-rusher, cornerback, and left tackle. Since that time, I’ve published my own top 15 rankings for the quarterbackspass-rushers, and cornerbacks.

Today, I’ll turn my attention to the left tackles. As with the other positions, age will play a major role in my rankings. At just 22 years old and heading into his third NFL season, history suggests that Cowboys left tackle Tyron Smith is on the verge of becoming a Pro Bowl-caliber player. Is he better than someone like Titans left tackle Michael Roos right at this moment? Probably not, but at nine years his younger, you’d probably prefer Smith long-term.

Also note that I really don’t care about how many sacks a lineman allows. That might seem ridiculous since the goal for anyone in pass protection is to keep the quarterback upright, but sacks are extremely volatile, meaning it’s almost worthless to grade an offensive lineman using the stat. I tracked Smith as allowing only three sacks in 2012, for example, but based on how often he allowed pressure, his most likely sack total was actually nine. If we were to use those three sacks to grade Smith for his 2012 play alone, he’d probably rank higher than he should. The goal when projecting players is to search for stats that are predictive of future play, however, and pressure rates are more predictive than sacks because they’re less susceptible to randomness.

Finally, quarterback play is also a factor in my rankings. I’ve used stats from Pro Football Focus on the average time each quarterback spent in the pocket prior to each pass. It should be no surprise that Tom Brady and Peyton Manning got rid of the ball quicker than any other quarterbacks in 2012, both throwing in 2.50 seconds or less, on average. Quarterbacks can really aid their linemen in sack and pressure rates; Broncos left tackle Ryan Clady allowed just one sack in 2012, for example, but he also benefited from perhaps the quickest decision-making quarterback in the NFL. Tony Romo makes a ton of plays with his legs, but he spends a lot of time in the pocket, which doesn’t help Smith’s numbers.

Below, I’ve listed my top left tackles heading into 2013. The number behind their names is their age when the 2013 season begins. I’ve listed sacks allowed and pressure rate, with the latter stat being a stronger factor in my rankings.

2013 NFL Left Tackle Rankings

1. Joe Thomas, Browns (28): 3 sacks allowed, 1.6 percent pressure rate

2. Russell Okung, Seahawks (25): 1 sack allowed, 2.7 percent pressure rate

3. Duane Brown, Texans (28): 4 sacks allowed, 2.0 percent pressure rate

4. Ryan Clady, Broncos (27): 1 sack allowed, 2.3 percent pressure rate

5. Matt Kalil, Vikings (24): 2 sacks allowed, 3.3 percent pressure rate

6. Jake Long, Rams (28): 4 sacks allowed, 2.4 percent pressure rate

7. Trent Williams, Redskins (25): 4 sacks allowed, 3.6 percent pressure rate

8. Tyron Smith, Cowboys (22): 3 sacks allowed, 6.0 percent pressure rate

9. Eugene Monroe, Jaguars (26): 5 sacks allowed, 3.2 percent pressure rate

10. Joe Staley, 49ers (29): 8 sacks allowed, 3.3 percent pressure rate

By Jonathan Bales

Ranking the NFL’s Top 15 Cornerbacks

At Dallas News, I ranked the NFL’s top 15 cornerbacks:

Cornerbacks are often ranked by YPA (yards per attempt), but I think that’s a poor metric. When Nnamdi Asmougha was in his prime in Oakland, he was targeted about half as often as other top cornerbacks, but he gave up a high completion rate and YPA because quarterbacks threw at him only when they knew his guy was wide open.

To truly capture great cornerback play, I think you need to reward them for not getting targeted. That’s why yards allowed per coverage snap is the best way to grade cornerbacks. Tracked by Pro Football Focus, yards per coverage snap reflects a cornerback’s solid coverage on a play, regardless of whether or not he was targeted.

Below, I’ve ranked my top 15 cornerbacks. Yards per coverage snap (listed) was one of the main stats I considered, but not the only one. I also think there’s a ton of value in play-making ability. While interceptions are fairly volatile, some cornerbacks have proven capable of making more plays than others even over large sample sizes. That’s why Asante Samuel is rated in my top five despite an average mark in yards per coverage snap, for example; he’s demonstrated a consistent ability to haul in interceptions (and he actually doesn’t give up a lot of big plays), and there’s a ton of value in that.

NFL Cornerback Rankings

1. Darrelle Revis, Jets

  • 0.92 yards per target (2011)

2. Richard Sherman, Seahawks

  • 1.07 yards per snap

3. Antonio Cromartie, Jets

  • 0.97 yards per snap

4. Champ Bailey, Broncos

  • 0.82 yards per snap (best in NFL)

5. Asante Samuel, Falcons

  • 1.27 yards per snap

6. Patrick Peterson, Cardinals

  • 1.24 yards per snap

7. Charles Tillman, Bears

  • 1.04 yards per snap

8. Prince Amukamara, Giants

  • 0.86 yards per snap (second in NFL)

See where Brandon Carr checks in.

By Jonathan Bales

DeMarcus Ware and the NFL’s Top Pass-Rushers

At Dallas News, I attempted to rank the league’s best pass-rushers.

The best way to predict future sacks actually isn’t past sacks, but rather the rate at which a player has reached the quarterback. If you know how many snaps a pass-rusher will rush the quarterback and how often he can pressure him, you can make a really accurate prediction regarding sack totals. That means that pressure rate is even better than total sacks as a tool to grade pass-rushers.

The rankings represent which players I’d want on my team moving forward. That means age is a major consideration; DeMarcus Ware is still an amazing player, but 24-year old Jason Pierre-Paul is probably a better option in the future, even if he’s not a superior player at this moment.

1. Von Miller, Broncos

  • 18.5 sacks, 10.4 percent pressure rate, age 24

2. Aldon Smith, 49ers

  • 19.5 sacks, 5.7 percent pressure rate, age 23

3. J.J. Watt, Texans

  • 20.5 sacks, 4.4 percent pressure rate, age 24

4. Jason Pierre-Paul, Giants

  • 6.5 sacks, 8.4 percent pressure rate, age 24

5. Clay Matthews, Packers

  • 13 sacks, 5.5 percent pressure rate, age 27

6. Mario Williams, Bills

  • 10.5 sacks, 7.1 percent pressure rate, age 28

See where Ware fits in right here.

By Jonathan Bales

Ranking the NFL’s Top 15 Quarterbacks

At Dallas Morning News, I took a shot at using stats to rank the league’s top quarterbacks. Here are my top eight:

Pete Prisco recently released his top players at the four positions he considers to be most vital in the NFL: quarterback, pass-rusher, cornerback, and left tackle. Based solely on those positions, the Cowboys checked in as the second-best overall team with Tony Romo ranked at No. 9, DeMarcus Ware at No. 3, Brandon Carr at No. 11, and Tyron Smith at No. 8.

For the most part, I think Prisco did a decent job with his rankings. Still, there are points of contention, so I wanted to propose my own “four-pronged” rankings from the perspective of a stat geek. Using advanced stats, I’ll put forth my top 15 players at each of the four positions, starting today with quarterback.

To be clear, I’m ranking the players not based off of what they’ve done in the past, but rather how likely they are to succeed in the future. I don’t really care if Joe Flacco won a Super Bowl last year; that doesn’t affect his ability to win future championships all that much. The best stats or power rankings are the most predictive, so consider this list my prediction for the most likely quarterbacks to thrive in the future.

1. Aaron Rodgers, Packers

  • 7.8 YPA in 2012 and it was his worst mark in four years

2. Tom Brady, Patriots

  • 0.29 WPA/game ranked him third in the NFL.

3. Drew Brees, Saints

  • A down year and still top six in YPA

4. Peyton Manning, Broncos

  • 7.49 net-YPA was first in NFL; would be higher if not for age

5. Cam Newton, Panthers

  • Third in YPA, seventh in net-YPA; 1,447 yards and 22 TDs rushing in two seasons

6. Robert Griffin III, Redskins

  • Health a concern, but best passer rating against the blitz in NFL history

7. Matt Ryan, Falcons

  • Second-highest completion rate in NFL; top five in net-YPA

8. Andrew Luck, Colts

  • Somewhat overrated rookie season; outside of top 15 in YPA and net-YPA

By Jonathan Bales

DMN Cowboys Draft Chat

Just participated in a chat at Dallas News. Here’s a portion:

  • Hey what’s up guys? I’m here and all set to take your questions.
    by Jonathan Bales 12:00 PM
  • Did the cowboys not take Elam due the fact the tampa 2 doesn’t need great safeties to work
    by eric from indy 12:00 PM
  • A few points: first, Monte Kiffin will run some Cover 2, but there’s going to be a whole lot of different looks, including more Cover 3 with Barry Church in the box. This isn’t going to mirror everything he did in Tampa a decade ago. Having said that, there’s no doubt that he wants and needs a play-making safety in the back end. I don’t know if he has that in Matt Johnson, but I still think the Cowboys want a safety. They didn’t take Elam (or another safety) because, as I’ve mentioned before, the position isn’t scarce in this draft. If they like Elam, Cyprien, Thomas, and Wilcox all around the same, it wouldn’t make much sense to take one of them early when you could grab one in the second or third. I still think that they’ll address the position in those rounds.
    by Jonathan Bales 12:03 PM
  • Cowboys’ offensive lineman had many injuries last year switching to Bill Callihan’s technique. what are the chances that the same happens to Frederick? Also, should he lose weight?
    by DeMario Davis 12:03 PM
  • I don’t think the injuries had anything to do with Callahan’s zone blocking scheme; they just got unlucky. The chances of Frederick getting injured under Callahan are the same as they’d be under any other coach. I don’t think he necessarily needs to lose weight, even if the Cowboys will be zone blocking, because that’s not his game. He’s not Jonathan Cooper, so there’s no sense in trying to become that. Plus, the Cowboys really need guys who can win at the point in short-yardage situations when they run up the middle. I don’t know if Frederick can do that, but losing weight wouldn’t help his cause.
    by Jonathan Bales 12:05 PM
  • If San Francisco wanted the Cowboys 18th pick so bad, why didnt the Cowboys hold out until San Fran gave up their 2nd round pick?
    by Justin H 12:06 PM
  • I just posted an article on the trade, but I’m really not sure. I’m sure the Cowboys tried to get the second; it’s unlikely Jerry would just immediately accept a third, but I still think they could have gotten better compensation. It’s not that the deal is inherently poor for the Cowboys, because it’s not. What they got back is actually fair for the move down, but the point is that if they could have gotten more, they should have. It doesn’t really matter what the picks are “worth” outside of what the Niners perceived them to be worth, and if the Cowboys could have gotten more, it was a sub-optimal trade. I have a difficult time believing they couldn’t have at least gotten another late-round pick out of a team that was obviously desperate to trade up.
    by Jonathan Bales 12:09 PM
  • Why is Ratliff still on this team? Isn’t Floyd better (and much cheaper) than Ratliff is right now?
    by Big Kev 12:09 PM
  • I don’t know if Floyd is a better player than Ratliff right now. He will be in a few years, obviously, but the Cowboys obviously felt as though they have bigger needs. And although Floyd was hyped up like crazy heading into the draft, I guarantee you he wasn’t as high on most teams’ boards as he was in the media. Before the draft, I had Floyd as a borderline first-round value, and I didn’t think he was the best player available when the Cowboys were on the clock. I actually think Dallas made the right move in trading down, but they needed to get more in return and, perhaps, a different player. In hindsight, I’d probably take Floyd at 18 over Frederick at 31 and a third-rounder, but that doesn’t mean the trade wasn’t smart at the time.
    by Jonathan Bales 12:12 PM
  • So, which DT with long arms and a quick twitch are the Cowboys going to be able to find in today’s rounds?
    by OKC Cowboy Fan 12:12 PM
  • For me, that player has to be Kawann Short. Actually, when the Cowboys were on the clock at 31, I thought that would be their guy. He’s the top defensive tackle remaining on my board by a long shot. He’s actually so scarce at this point that I’d strongly consider moving up for him. The Cowboys have extra ammo now, and I see the drop from Short to the next tier of defensive tackles as being a big one.
    by Jonathan Bales 12:14 PM
  • wouldn’t Sly Williams have been a better pick at 18 rather than trading down?
    by Rod Bower 12:14 PM
  • Yes, probably, but the Cowboys had to take on the uncertainty of not knowing who would be available when they made the deal. No matter what they tell you, I don’t think they’re happy to have Frederick at 31 and if they could replay the draft and they knew what would happen, I think they’d stay at 18. Not sure if Williams would have been their guy there, but Frederick was low enough on my board that I would take Williams over Frederick and a third. Again, that doesn’t mean the trade was a poor one when the Cowboys made it because they had to take on that uncertainty. It just didn’t work out for them.
    by Jonathan Bales 12:17 PM
  • How important are things like short arms, slow 40, (and slow in shuttle I think)? I watched some tape and to my untrained eye, he looked good.
    by How important are things… 12:17 PM
  • If you mean for Frederick, I think the most important trait is arm length. You’d like to see more athleticism out of him, but he just needs to surpass a certain baseline to be able to play center in the NFL. The Cowboys obviously believe he’s athletic enough. I have my doubts, but it’s not due entirely to his measurables. You’re right that on tape he looks good, but my problem is that he might have maxed out his potential. He plays intelligently and with great angles, but how much better is he going to get? I think it’s smart for teams to emphasize safety in the first round, but you can probably find a guy just as safe as Frederick with a much higher ceiling.
    by Jonathan Bales 12:20 PM
  • Do you think the Cowboys panic’d a little as some of the OL’s and safeties went off the board right before pick 31?
    by Michael 12:21 PM
  • I do. I think what they did in trading down in the first round and then selecting an interior lineman is smart on paper, but it wasn’t the right move in this particular draft. Historically, the area to where the Cowboys traded provides an amazing return on investment relative to the cost of the pick, but they didn’t get great compensation in the trade. They also probably knew that first-round interior linemen have generally been among the most successful of any first-round position, but we’ve also never seen a run on linemen like we saw this year. So instead of getting a guy like Warmack at 18, the Cowboys were forced into a much worse option: good in theory, but probably not so valuable in reality because of the nature of this draft.
    by Jonathan Bales 12:24 PM
  • If Tyrann Mathieu is available at the beginning of the 3rd round, do you see Jerry trading both his 3rd picks to get him?
    by Justin Hlubek 12:24 PM
  • No. Mathieu probably isn’t on the Cowboys’ board, and that trade would never happen for any player. Even if Mathieu were squeaky clean off of the field, he’s not an elite player. He might not even get a third-round grade from the Cowboys in any situation because he’s 5-9 with average speed. Where do short nickel backs with return ability typically get selected? Maybe the third or fourth round. So factor in Mathieu’s off-field issues, and I think he’s borderline undraftable.
    by Jonathan Bales 12:27 PM
  • There was a historic run on OL in the 1st round. Seems like Dallas got caught up in it and drafted a lesser player instead of BPA. Your thoughts?
    by MJD 12:27 PM
  • They say they drafted the highest-rated player on their board. I don’t think teams need to draft the highest-rated player in all situations, but obviously it’s ideal to get the best player available at the position of top need. Apparently the Cowboys did that (assuming Frederick can play guard), but it’s just not the player we thought it might be.
    by Jonathan Bales 12:28 PM
  • Don’t they still need at least 2 more starters on the OL: RT and another interior O-Lineman?
    by h 12:28 PM
  • Depending where they play Frederick, we might be looking at Smith/Livings/Costa/Frederick/Parnell right now. Parnell showed some good things last year, but I don’t think Dallas is counting on him to start and excel. I’d say that four of the Cowboys’ five starting offensive linemen are currently on the roster.
    by Jonathan Bales 12:30 PM

Here’s the full chat.

By Jonathan Bales

2013 NFL Draft: Top 5 at Each Position

At NBC, I published my top five players at each position.

QB

1 Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia
3 Matt Barkley, QB, USC
4 Matt Scott, QB, Arizona
5 Landry Jones, QB, Oklahoma

Analysis: I really don’t like Syracuse’s Ryan Nassib, who many have predicted could be a top 10 pick. Actually, I don’t even have him in my top 80 prospects. Manuel, who recently moved into my top 30 overall, could have the highest ceiling of the bunch.
RB

4 Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama

Analysis: Since I last posted my rankings, I moved Michael into the No. 1 spot over Franklin. I really like both players, but Michael has an elite size/speed combination.
And I published this comparison a few weeks ago, but it’s worth repeating:
Zac Stacy: 5-9, 216 pounds, 3,143 yards, 5.4 YPC, 4.55 40-yard dash, 6.70 three-cone drill, 4.17 short shuttle, 27 reps
Player X: 5-9, 215 pounds, 3,431 yards, 5.6 YPC, 4.55 40-yard dash, 6.79 three-cone drill, 4.16 short shuttle, 28 reps
“Player X” is Doug Martin.
WR

4 Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee
5 Keenan Allen, WR, Cal

Analysis: I’ve had Hopkins rated as my No. 1 wide receiver for a little while, but he’s now my No. 13 overall prospect. I also moved Rogers up to No. 3 because he’s basically a Brandon Marshall clone. His future will hinge on his ability to stay out of trouble.

Check out the rest right here.

By Jonathan Bales

2013 NFL Draft: My Final Big Board

At Dallas News, I published my final big board, ranking my top 80 prospects.

  1. Dion Jordan, DE/OLB, Oregon***
  2. Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU***
  3. Jonathan Cooper, G, UNC***
  4. Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma***
  5. Chance Warmack, G, Alabama
  6. Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
  7. Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State***
  8. Cornellius Carradine, DE, Florida State***
  9. Barkevious Mingo, DE, LSU
  10. Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
  11. Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
  12. Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama
  13. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson***
  14. D.J. Hayden, CB Houston***
  15. Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
  16. Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan^^^
  17. Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia
  18. Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington
  19. Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia
  20. Arthur Brown, LB, Kansas State***
  21. Kawann Short, DT, Purdue***
  22. Jarvis Jones, DE/OLB, Georgia
  23. Menelik Watson, OT, Florida State***
  24. Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida^^^
  25. Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas

Check out the rest right here.